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ORLANDO, Fla., Jan. 30, 2006 - Real Estate
Investment Brokerage Company, the nation's largest real estate investment
brokerage firm, recently released its National Apartment Research Report for
2006, which indicates Orlando's apartment fundamentals will remain robust
this year due to strong employment growth and limited new supply.
Also included in the report is the firm's annual National Apartment Index (NAI),
a snapshot analysis that ranks 42 apartment markets based on a series of
12-month forward-looking supply and demand indicators. Orlando improves four
places this year to No. 17.
"Investment in Orlando apartments is dominated by condo conversion deals,"
comments Steven M. Ekovich, first vice president of
and
regional manager of the Orlando office. "Conversion buyers remained active
at the end of 2005 and are expected to maintain a steady pace of
acquisitions this year, buoyed by strong demand for affordably priced
housing."
Following are some of the most significant aspects of the Orlando Apartment
Research Report:
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Falling vacancy will allow owners to
raise asking rents by 3.7 percent this year to $845 per month.
A decline in concessions will cause average effective rents to rise 6.3
percent to $807 per month.
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Vacancy is forecast to decrease by 80
basis points to 4.5 percent by the end of 2006.
Strong underlying demand for apartments, along with a reduction of rental
inventory due to condo conversions, will fuel the decline.
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Orlando boasts one of the fastest-growing
employment markets in the country, with a 4.3 percent expansion forecast in
2006.
The construction, and leisure and hospitality sectors are expected to create
the most jobs this year, adding 13,000 positions and 11,000 positions,
respectively.
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Deliveries are projected to fall to 1,230
units in 2006 after approximately 2,500 units were added in 2005.
High construction costs have encouraged investment in existing rental
properties, while a hot housing market has stimulated conversion of rentals
to for-sale units.
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Transaction velocity and pricing will
remain high as demographics, declining housing affordability and the cost of
new construction continue to support condo conversions.
Cap rates are being driven to as low as 4.5 percent to 5.0 percent for
high-end properties in prime areas such as Metro West and Lake Buena Vista,
while cap rates for Class B/C assets in suburban locations are at
approximately 7 percent.
Orange County (Calif.) claimed the top spot in the 2006 NAI, surpassing last
year's leader, Riverside-San Bernardino (California's Inland Empire). The
region's median home price of more than $700,000 makes Orange County one of
the least affordable housing markets in the country, which will keep renter
demand at high levels. Fort Lauderdale occupies the No. 2 position due to
robust job growth and low vacancy. Las Vegas moved up one spot to No. 3,
supported by strong condo conversion activity and declining vacancy. San
Diego fell two places to No. 4, and New York City-Manhattan climbed four
positions to complete the top five. Typically the bottom MSAs in the NAI are
markets with above-average vacancy or weak labor markets.
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