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NEW YORK, Jan. 30, 2006 - Real Estate Investment
Brokerage Company, the nation's largest real estate investment brokerage
firm, recently released its National Apartment Research Report for 2006,
which indicates the New York City-Manhattan apartment market will be
supported by an occupancy boost and strong rent growth.
Also included in the report is the firm's annual National Apartment Index (NAI),
a snapshot analysis that ranks 42 apartment markets based on a series of
12-month forward-looking supply and demand indicators. New York
City-Manhattan improves four positions this year to No. 5.
"Strong operating fundamentals and irreplaceable locations have supported
investor interest in Manhattan properties year after year," comments
Mitchell R. LaBar, managing director of
and regional
manager of the Manhattan office. "While Manhattan's investment market
remains heated, apartment market fundamentals will strengthen this year.
Vacancy is forecast to decline, while asking rents are set to rise 3.7
percent, the greatest rate in five years. In addition, owners will continue
to trim concessions, which are projected to drop to their lowest level since
2001."
Following are some of the most significant aspects of the New York
City-Manhattan Apartment Research Report:
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Asking rents are
projected to climb 3.7 percent to $3,148 per month by year-end 2006.
Effective rents in Manhattan are expected to advance 5 percent this year
to $3,075 per month.
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The vacancy rate is
forecast to fall 10 basis points to 3.6 percent by the end of 2006.
Despite an uptick in completions, tenant demand for apartments in Manhattan
remains robust.
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Solid job growth will
support improvement in Manhattan apartment market fundamentals in 2006.
Total employment in New York City, including the outer boroughs and Putnam,
Rockland and Westchester counties, is forecast to increase 1.6 percent in
2006, a gain of 66,900 jobs.
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Apartment builders are
expected to complete 3,500 units in Manhattan in 2006, up from 3,300 units
last year.
Approximately 2,400 new units are under way and scheduled for delivery in
2007 and 2008.
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As prices continue to
climb, small investors will increasingly turn to less costly assets in the
outer boroughs.
Properties in Brooklyn, for example, were selling at a median price of
$139,000 per unit last year. Cap rates for local properties run 150 basis
points to 200 basis points more than Manhattan.
Orange County (Calif.) claimed the top spot in the 2006 NAI, surpassing last
year's leader, Riverside-San Bernardino (California's Inland Empire). The
region's median home price of more than $700,000 makes Orange County one of
the least affordable housing markets in the country, which will keep renter
demand at high levels. Fort Lauderdale occupies the No. 2 position due to
robust job growth and low vacancy. Las Vegas moved up one spot to No. 3,
supported by strong condo conversion activity and declining vacancy. San
Diego fell two places to No. 4, and New York City-Manhattan climbed four
positions to complete the top five. Typically the bottom MSAs in the NAI are
markets with above-average vacancy or weak labor markets.
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