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ELMWOOD PARK, N.J., Jan. 30, 2006 - Real Estate
Investment Brokerage Company, the nation's largest real estate investment
brokerage firm, recently released its National Apartment Research Report for
2006, which indicates the increase in development activity throughout
Northern New Jersey will hinder a stronger rebound in market fundamentals.
Also included in the report is the firm's annual National Apartment Index (NAI),
a snapshot analysis that ranks 42 apartment markets based on a series of
12-month forward-looking supply and demand indicators. Northern New Jersey
loses 12 spots this year to No. 27.
"Job growth in key sectors that usually employ apartment renters will keep
demand rising in 2006, offsetting the increase in development activity,"
comments Michael J. Fasano, regional manager of
's
Northern New Jersey office. "The combination of improving near-term
fundamentals and favorable short-term demographics will encourage apartment
investors throughout the year."
Following are some of the most significant aspects of the Northern New
Jersey Apartment Research Report:
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Monthly asking rents
are projected to climb 2.8 percent this year to $1,398.
Effective rents are expected to add 3.7 percent to finish the year at $1,356
per month.
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The vacancy rate will decline 10 basis points to 4.2 percent this year.
In Union County, vacancy is projected to fall 30 basis points to 3.7
percent, while vacancy in Bergen County will remain in the low-3 percent
range.
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The Northern New Jersey economy is projected to add 35,000 new jobs this
year, up from 20,000 jobs in 2005.
Many of the positions being added are in population-driven service sectors,
which will stimulate apartment demand.
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Developers are forecast to add 1,400 units to the Northern New Jersey
market in 2006, compared with 700 units last year.
The forecast amount represents only 0.7 percent of rental inventory and will
not be large enough to offset an increase in apartment demand.
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Investors will continue to be attracted to Hudson County due to its
abundant prime locations and its population of more than 160,000 renter
households, the most in the market.
Another area that investors might want to consider is Morris County, where
solid tenant demand is expected to boost property operations by more than 5
percent during 2006.
Orange County (Calif.) claimed the top spot in the 2006 NAI, surpassing last
year's leader, Riverside-San Bernardino (California's Inland Empire). The
region's median home price of more than $700,000 makes Orange County one of
the least affordable housing markets in the country, which will keep renter
demand at high levels. Fort Lauderdale occupies the No. 2 position due to
robust job growth and low vacancy. Las Vegas moved up one spot to No. 3,
supported by strong condo conversion activity and declining vacancy. San
Diego fell two places to No. 4, and New York City-Manhattan climbed four
positions to complete the top five. Typically the bottom MSAs in the NAI are
markets with above-average vacancy or weak labor markets.
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