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CHICAGO, Jan. 25, 2006 - Real Estate Investment
Brokerage Company, the nation's largest real estate investment brokerage
firm, recently released its National Apartment Research Report for 2006,
which indicates the Chicago apartment market will benefit from a
strengthening labor market coupled with limited new supply.
Also included in the report is the firm's annual National Apartment Index (NAI),
a snapshot analysis that ranks 42 apartment markets based on a series of
12-month forward-looking supply and demand indicators. Chicago moves up
three positions this year to No. 20.
"Vacancy in the Chicago apartment market reached its lowest point last year
since 2002, and is expected to continue improving in 2006 on the strength of
robust job growth," comments Greg A. Moyer, managing director of
and regional manager of the Chicago office. "Continued gains in
tourism are also expected to help the apartment market, as hiring in the
leisure and hospitality sector leads to expansion of the renter pool."
Following are some of the most significant aspects of the Chicago Apartment
Research Report:
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Improving occupancy
will enable owners to boost asking rents by 2.2 percent in 2006 to $992
per month.
The greatest contributor to gross revenue growth will come from
concession burn, with effective rents forecast to increase by 4.4
percent this year to $942 per month.
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Vacancy is expected to
improve 70 basis points in 2006 to 5.8 percent as solid job growth raises
demand.
Vacancy will decline in many submarkets, including a 90 basis point
reduction in the Loop to 8 percent.
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Employers are expected to
add more than 67,000 positions in 2006, an increase of 1.5 percent.
Gains will be driven by increased hiring in the educational and health
services, leisure and hospitality, and trade, transportation and utilities
sectors.
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Developers are forecast to
deliver 1,750 units in 2006, down more than 10 percent from last year.
Many developers are shifting focus from rental units to for-sale condos,
resulting in a shrinking apartment construction pipeline.
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Many transactions
involving properties with a lower price per unit are taking place in the
Southside of Chicago.
Properties in this area can prove to be solid opportunities and can often be
purchased for less than $50,000 per unit.
Orange County (Calif.) claimed the top spot in the 2006 NAI, surpassing last
year's leader, Riverside-San Bernardino (California's Inland Empire). The
region's median home price of more than $700,000 makes Orange County one of
the least affordable housing markets in the country, which will keep renter
demand at high levels. Fort Lauderdale occupies the No. 2 position due to
robust job growth and low vacancy. Las Vegas moved up one spot to No. 3,
supported by strong condo conversion activity and declining vacancy. San
Diego fell two places to No. 4, and New York City-Manhattan climbed four
positions to complete the top five. Typically the bottom MSAs in the NAI are
markets with above-average vacancy or weak labor markets.
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