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BOSTON, Jan. 25, 2006 - Real Estate Investment
Brokerage Company, the nation's largest real estate investment brokerage
firm, recently released its National Apartment Research Report for 2006,
which indicates the Boston apartment market will benefit from increased
employment opportunities and steady rent growth.
Also included in the report is the firm's annual National Apartment Index (NAI),
a snapshot analysis that ranks 42 apartment markets based on a series of
12-month forward-looking supply and demand indicators. Boston falls nine
places this year to No. 16.
"Employment growth will lead to an influx of residents to the Boston metro
area this year, which will support expansion of the local renter pool,"
comments Gary R. Lucas, managing director of
and regional
manager of the Boston office. "In the coming year, the greatest improvement
is expected in the close-in Brookline submarket, where vacancy is forecast
to fall to a low 4.2 percent."
Following are some of the most significant aspects of the Boston Apartment
Research Report:
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Asking rents rose 2.7
percent in 2005 to $1,595 per month and are forecast to gain 2.5 percent
in 2006 to $1,635 per month.
Concessions are beginning to burn off, a trend we expect will continue
through 2006. Effective rents are forecast to rise 3 percent this year
to an average of $1,546 per month.
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Vacancy is projected to
fall 20 basis points this year to 4.8 percent.
Most submarkets will post a decline in vacancy in 2006, though the South
Shore submarket is expected to post a 60 basis point increase to 5.7 percent
as almost one-third of new construction is focused in this area.
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Employers are forecast to
add 39,000 jobs this year, a 1.7 percent increase.
The two sectors that will contribute the most new positions are educational
and health services, with over 11,000 jobs, and professional and business
services, which will add over 7,000 new positions.
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The completion of 2,900
units is projected in 2006, up from 2,200 units in 2005.
Inventory reductions due to condo conversion activity will continue, which
could more than offset additions to supply.
Orange County (Calif.) claimed the top spot in the 2006 NAI, surpassing last
year's leader, Riverside-San Bernardino (California's Inland Empire). The
region's median home price of more than $700,000 makes Orange County one of
the least affordable housing markets in the country, which will keep renter
demand at high levels. Fort Lauderdale occupies the No. 2 position due to
robust job growth and low vacancy. Las Vegas moved up one spot to No. 3,
supported by strong condo conversion activity and declining vacancy. San
Diego fell two places to No. 4, and New York City-Manhattan climbed four
positions to complete the top five. Typically the bottom MSAs in the NAI are
markets with above-average vacancy or weak labor markets. |