WASHINGTON, D.C.,
Feb. 6,
2006 -
Real Estate Investment Brokerage Company, the
nation's largest real estate investment brokerage firm, recently released its
National Apartment Research Report for 2006, which indicates the Washington,
D.C., apartment
market will benefit from increased employment opportunities and strong
in-migration.
Also included in the report is the firm's annual National Apartment Index (NAI),
a snapshot analysis that ranks 42 apartment markets based on a series of
12-month forward-looking supply and demand indicators. Washington, D.C., dips
four places this year to No. 10.
"Fundamentals in the Washington, D.C., apartment market will remain strong in
2006," comments Charles Blessing, regional manager of
's
Washington, D.C., office. "Robust job growth and consistent population gains
will keep vacancy low this year and allow owners to achieve gains in gross
revenue."
Following are some of the most significant aspects of the Washington, D.C.,
Apartment Research Report:
-
Despite an
increase in the vacancy rate, it will remain relatively low in 2006.
As a result, the average asking rent will
increase 2.8 percent to $1,229 per month, while effective rents are
projected to advance 2.7 percent to $1,167 per month.
-
A surge in
completions, assuming all the units are delivered this year, will lift
vacancy 30 basis points to 4.8 percent in 2006.
Stock reductions and steady demand will reduce the vacancy rate in the
Rockville submarket 90 basis points to 5.3 percent this year.
-
Washington,
D.C., employers will add 82,000 jobs in 2006.
Gains will be recorded in the information sector, with 6,000 new jobs, and
in office-using employment industries, where 40,000 positions are forecast.
Both sectors should support demand for luxury apartments.
-
Approximately
8,100 units are expected to be delivered this year, compared with 6,000
units in 2005.
Rising costs for construction materials and labor, however, could slow the
pace of deliveries, pushing some projects into 2007.
-
Investors should
look at assets in the suburban Silver Spring area, where more than 1,500 new
households are projected in each of the next five years.
Cap rates range from 6 percent to 7 percent, and vacancy is typically in the
low-4 percent range.
Orange County
(Calif.) claimed the top spot in the 2006 NAI, surpassing last year's leader,
Riverside-San Bernardino (California's Inland Empire). The region's median
home price of more than $700,000 makes Orange County one of the least
affordable housing markets in the country, which will keep renter demand at
high levels. Fort Lauderdale occupies the No. 2 position due to robust job
growth and low vacancy. Las Vegas moved up one spot to No. 3, supported by
strong condo conversion activity and declining vacancy. San Diego fell two
places to No. 4, and
New York City-Manhattan climbed four positions to complete the top five.
Typically the bottom MSAs in the NAI are markets with above-average vacancy or
weak labor markets.
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