Multi-Family Loan Update from MFLoan.com March 1, 2001

Rate Update
For
most of February the interest rate market was relatively steady.
However, as the month-ended rates began to drop and the 10–year
treasury note ended the month under 4.90%.
This reduction continued even though Fed Chairman Greenspan announced
that the economic slowdown is not over, but that the economy was doing better.
He indicated that the Fed would not dorp rates prior to its next meeting
on March 20th. Most
experts expect the Fed to announce a 50 BPS reduction at that meeting.
The
10-year treasury under 4.90%, at the end of February, it’s lowest point in two
years. While a further Fed
reduction may result in a slightly lower 10-year treasury rate, I do not believe
that there will be a significant reduction in the 10-year treasury.
Instead I believe that any Fed reduction will have a greater impact on
short-term rates than long-term rates such as the 10-year note.
So
far the Fed rate reductions has started to return the yield curve to a more
standard posture. The 1-year treasury rate is currently 45 BPS below the
10-year note as compared to 23 BPS at the beginning of the year.
This normalization of the yield curve is making loans more expensive to
prepay as yield maintenance and defeasance prepayment premiums have increased
dramatically.
Over
the past month we have seen an increase in spreads

by
the agency lenders. Early in the month Fannie Mae increased their spreads by 5-10
BPS. This was followed by a similar
increase in spreads by Freddie Mac near the end of the month.
These increases were partially in response to market conditions, but I
believe they also represent the lender’s recognition of the risk of a
recession and it’s effect on credit quality.
Even
with these increases the agency lenders remain the best pricing entities.
Their prices are very close to each other with most deals pricing at
195-200 BPS (actual/360). The
Fannie Mae posted rate seems lower than most Freddie Mac quotes, but my
experience has been the actual quotes from both lenders is very similar. It is
impossible to say which is the best pricing entity today.
Some conduit lenders are pricing loans very close to the agencies with
spreads as low as 205 BPS being seen on some high quality deals.
Overall,
multifamily rates are currently 4.90% (plus/minus 25 BPS) for a 10-year loan
with an 80% loan-to-value. Many lenders, including most conduits and some life
companies, have established floor rates. These
floors, usually between 6.75%-7.00%, will effectively increase these lender's
spreads if treasury rates continue to trend downward.
The last time the 10-year treasury dropped into the mid-4% range the only
lenders that did not institute floors were HUD and the agency lenders, Freddie
Mac and Fannie Mae.
Key Rates |
|||
|
|
3/1/01 |
Last
Month |
Change |
|
Fed
Funds |
5.56 |
5.50 |
+6 BPS |
|
30
Day LIBOR |
5.29 |
5.56 |
-27 BPS |
|
1-Year
Treasury |
4.43 |
4.38 |
+5 BPS |
|
5-Year
Treasury |
4.62 |
4.73 |
-11 BPS |
|
10-Year
Treasury |
4.88 |
5.07 |
-19 BPS |
|
30-Year
Treasury |
5.28 |
5.45 |
+17 BPS |
|
Prime |
8.50 |
8.50 |
N/C |
|
“AAA”
10-YR CMBS |
139 BPS |
129 BPS |
+10 BPS |
|
"A"
Corporate Bonds |
6.59% |
6.57% |
+2 BPS |
|
10-Year
Swap Spread |
89 BPS |
80 BPS |
+9 BPS |
The MBA and the outlook for 2001
The annual Mortgage Banker Association (MBA),
Commercial/Multifamily Lender’s Conference was held earlier this month.
At this meeting about 4,500 lenders and mortgage professionals met to
discuss the industry and future lending trends.
The tone of this meeting was cautious optimism.
In general, most lenders indicated that funds would be plentiful for 2001
and that rates would remain relatively low.
There was some concern about the slowing economy and it’s effect on
credit quality, however, most people felt the lower rates that would result from
a slower economy would outweigh the impact on rental growth and vacancy rates.
The big topic at the conference was the Internet.
While last year’s conference was attended by numerous Internet or
“cyber-lenders” this years conference saw traditional mortgage bankers and
lenders embracing the Internet. Most of the “cyber-lenders” are now defunct or changing
their business plans, but traditional mortgage bankers and lenders all spoke
about how they plan on using the Internet to speed up the loan process and make
the lending more efficient. While
the talk was prevalent it is still unclear how the Internet will effect
multifamily lending; I will discuss more about the Internet in next month’s
issue of Multifamily Update.
At the meeting, some lenders announced new programs
or changes to existing programs and others discussed their new initiatives.
Listed below is a brief synopsis of the announcements and discussion at
the meeting.
Freddie announced a new pilot policy to allow mezzanine
debt behind their first mortgages. This
program is designed to assist borrowers who are expecting the value of their
property to increase significantly due moderate rehabilitation or repositioning.
Freddie will now, under certain specific conditions, allow a short-term,
high leverage, second mortgage behind their first.
This should help borrowers achieve up to 90% leverage on certain
acquisitions.
Of use to more customers is Freddie’s announcement
of changes to their interest only (I/O) program. They have reduced the required DCR to 1.50 from 1.60 and
increased the LTV to 70% from 65%. They
have also indicated that they would look at I/O deals for terms longer than 10
years, something they haven’t considered in the past. Additionally, they will now allow an I/O period for up to 2
years at the beginning of a loan term on fully leveraged 80% loans.
However, on fully leveraged loans they will reduce the maximum
amortization by 1 year for each year of I/O.
Therefore, a loan with the first 2 years of interest only will have a
maximum of 28 years amortization.
Fannie Mae did not roll out any new programs.
They discussed that during the next year they will have a strong focus on
customer service and how they will streamline their process.
There was also significant discussion of the Fannie Mae’s new policy
that a borrower can work with only 1 DUS lender on loans over $20 million. Previously, they allowed you to work with multiple lenders
creating a competitive process. This
policy is similar to other lenders and will not effect most borrowers, but it is
a significant change from the previous Fannie policies.
There were no significant new products announced from the
conduit lenders. The big discussion
around conduits was the large amount of floating rate business done in 2000 and
the continued consolidation of conduit lenders as Wall Street firms continue to
merge. Most of the conduits
expressed strong interest in new multifamily loans.
They touted their ability to lock rate quickly and achieve full 80%
loans.
Life
Companies – getting competitive in 2001
In general, the life
companies did not announce any new products.
However, in private meetings, most life companies expressed
disappointment of their ability to compete on multifamily in 2000 and they
expressed a determination to compete in 2001.
Expect some life companies to increase their loan to value limits to 80%
and be more competitive on rate. This
should offer a renewed source of funds for multifamily loans.
This Update is provided by MFLoan.com, Inc. and edited by Adam Klingher.
You may contact Adam for additional information on multifamily rates or spreads or to discuss transaction financing:
Phone
(312)
845-3935
Fax - (312) 845-8505
E-mail-
mfloan-update@home.com
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